BREAKING: Paul Leads in Iowa Poll
Newt Gingrich’s campaign is rapidly imploding, and Ron Paul has now taken the lead in Iowa. He’s at 23% to 20% for Mitt Romney, 14% for Gingrich, 10% each for Rick Santorum, Michele Bachmann, and Rick Perry, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 2% for Gary Johnson.
(See Breaking Updates, below.)
Gingrich has now seen a big drop in his Iowa standing two weeks in a row. His share of the vote has gone from 27% to 22% to 14%. And there’s been a large drop in his personal favorability numbers as well from +31 (62/31) to +12 (52/40) to now -1 (46/47). Negative ads over the last few weeks have really chipped away at Gingrich’s image as being a strong conservative- now only 36% of voters believe that he has ‘strong principles,’ while 43% think he does not.
Paul’s ascendancy is a sign that perhaps campaigns do matter at least a little, in a year where there has been a lot of discussion about whether they still do in Iowa. 22% of voters think he’s run the best campaign in the state compared to only 8% for Gingrich and 5% for Romney. The only other candidate to hit double digits on that question is Bachmann at 19%. Paul also leads Romney 26-5 (with Gingrich at 13%) with the 22% of voters who say it’s ‘very important’ that a candidate spends a lot of time in Iowa. Finally Paul leads Romney 29-19 among the 26% of likely voters who have seen one of the candidates in person.
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Read more: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2011/12/paul-leads-in-iowa.html
UPDATES: Insider Advantage Poll 12/18 has
24% Paul, 18% Romney, 16% Perry & 13% Gingrich
More: http://www.dailypaul.com/194456/insider-advantage-iowa-poll-12-18-paul-24-romney-18-perry-16
Great strategy post on Daily Paul:
iroots.org’s founder, Aaron Jones, is giving up Christmas time with family and Winter break to volunteer and train activists throughout Iowa starting Tuesday, 12/21/11. He’ll be joined by a camera man from Texas–together they will bring you exclusive grassroots coverage of the caucuses and the blood, sweat and tears of the Ron Paul Revolution. Won’t you make a donation, right now, to help cover their travel and equipment? Hey, it’s almost as good as buying a few votes for Dr. Paul!
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